A sharp jump in patients with COVID! Is a new wave coming?

• When compared to Week 18, there was a rise in case incidence equal to an improvement in chemical analysis capacity in Week 19. At the national level, Libya's transmission classification changed to reduced prevalence of society transmitting (CT1) with Beta, Delta, Alpha, and Omicron Different versions of Concern (VOC) circulation at trying to report week 19, predicated on weekly test optimism rates due to the limited lab testing, with a 1.7 percent weekly test optimism percentage and 0.4 case/ 100,000 citizenry. Furthermore, Libya's national lab testing capacity was restricted, with just 25 people screened per 100,000 people every week.

• Case occurrences are exceedingly low at the local level due to poor lab testing facilities. Because of the positive significant rate, the number of known cases is expected to be a tiny percentage of the total number of infections. As a result, WHO recommends that all administrative levels maintain a lab testing capacity of at least 400 people tested per 100,000 people every week.

• In week 19, 10 COVID-19 facilities (out of 43) submitted 1,715 new lab tests (1,610 PCR & 105 Ag-RDT). Thus, 501,964 (20.1 percent) of the 2,503,074 tests conducted in Libya since the response began have been proven high for SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19).

• Compared to Week 18, the total number of cases documented in Week 19 increased by 81 percent (29 cases), with West showing a 67 percent surge of new cases. There were no cases reported in the East, whereas four cases were reported in the South.

• No deaths were recorded in Libya in Week 19.

• There was a 127 percent increase in the total national testing compared to Week 18: by areas, West (1584 tests; 139 percent growth), East (74 test results; 35 percent increase), and South (74 tests; 35 percent increase) (57 tests; 54 percent increase). As a result, the West accounted for 92.4 percent of national testing, compared to 4.3 percent in the East and 3.3 percent in the South. (See Table 1 for more information.) The west accounts for 64% of the Libyan population, while the east accounts for 28% and the south for 8%.

• The overall monthly positivity rate fell to 1.7 percent in Week 19, with weekly positivity rates of 1.6 percent, 0 percent, and 7 percent in the West, East, and South, respectively. Positive rates must be maintained under 5% in all regions of a country, according to the WHO.